Lions @ 49ers
Lions
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Lions 34-31 at home. The market closed with Lions at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 53.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 47% | 42% | +7.5 (-110) |
| 49ers | 53% | 58% | -7.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 71% | O 53.5 (-105) |
| Under | 29% | 29% | U 53.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 40% | 78% | +280 |
| 49ers | 60% | 22% | -350 |
53% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Lions bet.
71% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
The 49ers held 60% of moneyline tickets but only 22% of the money; 78% of moneyline money was on the Lions with 40% of tickets, so the average Lions bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -7 | -7.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 52 | 53.5 | +1.5 |
The 49ers were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the 49ers.
The total was 52 24 hours before kickoff and closed 53.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the 49ers (49ers -7 to 49ers -7.5), the side holding 58% of the spread money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (52 to 53.5), the side holding 71% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.