Chiefs @ Ravens
Chiefs
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Ravens 17-10 on the road. The market closed with Chiefs at +185 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chiefs betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Chiefs vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Chiefs vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chiefs | 46% | 35% | +4.5 (-112) |
| Ravens | 54% | 65% | -4.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 55% | 38% | O 44.5 (-108) |
| Under | 45% | 62% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chiefs | 29% | 29% | +185 |
| Ravens | 71% | 71% | -225 |
54% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Chiefs bet.
The over held 55% of total tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of total money was on the under with 45% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
71% of moneyline tickets and 71% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chiefs vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -3.5 | -4.5 | -1 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Ravens were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -4.5, a 1-point move toward the Ravens.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chiefs vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Ravens (Ravens -3.5 to Ravens -4.5), the side holding 65% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 62% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.