Packers @ Eagles
Packers
EaglesArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Packers 34-29 at home. The market closed with Packers at +105 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Eagles betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Eagles betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Eagles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 64% | 55% | +2 (-112) |
| Eagles | 36% | 45% | -2 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 83% | O 49.5 (-109) |
| Under | 23% | 17% | U 49.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 22% | 23% | +105 |
| Eagles | 78% | 77% | -125 |
64% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Eagles bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
78% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the Eagles drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Eagles?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Eagles) | -1.5 | -2 | -0.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 49.5 | +1 |
The Eagles opened -1.5 and closed -2, a 0.5-point move toward the Eagles.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 49.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Eagles line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Eagles (Eagles -1.5 to Eagles -2) even though 55% of the spread money sits on the Packers; the Eagles hold 45% of the money and 36% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (48.5 to 49.5), the side holding 83% of the total money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.