Ravens @ Chiefs
Ravens
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Ravens 27-20 at home. The market closed with Ravens at +125 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 59% | 54% | +3 (-105) |
| Chiefs | 41% | 46% | -3 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 36% | O 46 (-107) |
| Under | 23% | 64% | U 46 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 18% | 52% | +125 |
| Chiefs | 82% | 48% | -150 |
59% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Chiefs bet was larger.
The over held 77% of total tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of total money was on the under with 23% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Chiefs held 82% of moneyline tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of moneyline money was on the Ravens with 18% of tickets, so the average Ravens bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 47 | 46 | -1 |
The Chiefs opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 47 and closed 46, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Chiefs line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Chiefs -3) even with 54% of the spread money on the Ravens. The total moved 1 point toward the under (47 to 46), the side holding 64% of the total money and 23% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.