Cowboys @ Browns
Cowboys
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Browns 33-17 on the road. The market closed with Cowboys at +107 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 92% | 92% | +2 (-112) |
| Browns | 8% | 8% | -2 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 89% | 74% | O 42 (-112) |
| Under | 11% | 26% | U 42 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 40% | 59% | +107 |
| Browns | 60% | 41% | -127 |
92% of spread tickets and 92% of spread money were on the Cowboys, with money and tickets in step.
89% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Browns held 60% of moneyline tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of moneyline money was on the Cowboys with 40% of tickets, so the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | +1.5 | -2 | -3.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 42 | -2.5 |
The Cowboys opened -1.5 and closed +2, a 3.5-point move toward the Browns.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 42, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the Browns (Browns +1.5 to Browns -2) even though 92% of the spread money sits on the Cowboys; the Browns hold 8% of the money and 8% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (44.5 to 42) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 11% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.