Jets @ 49ers
Jets
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Jets 32-19 at home. The market closed with Jets at +160 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 53% | 53% | +3.5 (-111) |
| 49ers | 47% | 47% | -3.5 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 32% | O 43.5 (-108) |
| Under | 36% | 68% | U 43.5 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 13% | 10% | +160 |
| 49ers | 87% | 90% | -191 |
53% of spread tickets and 53% of spread money were on the Jets, with money and tickets in step.
The over held 64% of total tickets but only 32% of the money; 68% of total money was on the under with 36% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
87% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs 49ers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -5 | -3.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 43.5 | -3 |
The 49ers opened -5 and closed -3.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 43.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Jets (49ers -5 to 49ers -3.5), the side holding 53% of the spread money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (46.5 to 43.5), the side holding 68% of the total money and 36% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.