Bengals @ Chiefs
Bengals
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Bengals 26-25 at home. The market closed with Bengals at +235 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 40% | 23% | +6.5 (-107) |
| Chiefs | 60% | 77% | -6.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 59% | O 48 (-108) |
| Under | 32% | 41% | U 48 (-114) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 7% | 4% | +235 |
| Chiefs | 93% | 96% | -290 |
60% of spread tickets and 77% of spread money were on the Chiefs, so the average Chiefs bet was larger than the average Bengals bet.
68% of total tickets and 59% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the average Chiefs bet was larger than the average Bengals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -4.5 | -6.5 | -2 |
| Total | 49 | 48 | -1 |
The Chiefs opened -4.5 and closed -6.5, a 2-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total opened 49 and closed 48, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Chiefs (Chiefs -4.5 to Chiefs -6.5), the side holding 77% of the spread money and 60% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (49 to 48) even though 59% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 41% of the money and 32% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.