Broncos @ Seahawks
Broncos
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Broncos 26-20 at home. The market closed with Broncos at +232 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 47% | 34% | +6.5 (-106) |
| Seahawks | 53% | 66% | -6.5 (-113) | |
| Total | Over | 86% | 66% | O 42.5 (-109) |
| Under | 14% | 34% | U 42.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 8% | 10% | +232 |
| Seahawks | 92% | 90% | -289 |
53% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Seahawks, so the average Seahawks bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
86% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
92% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Broncos bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Seahawks?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | -4.5 | -6.5 | -2 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Seahawks opened -4.5 and closed -6.5, a 2-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Seahawks line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Seahawks (Seahawks -4.5 to Seahawks -6.5), the side holding 66% of the spread money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (42.5) even with 66% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.