Steelers @ Falcons
Steelers
FalconsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Falcons 18-10 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at +162 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Falcons betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Falcons betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Falcons?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 84% | 73% | +4 (-110) |
| Falcons | 16% | 27% | -4 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 86% | 40% | O 43 (-111) |
| Under | 14% | 60% | U 43 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 19% | 24% | +162 |
| Falcons | 81% | 76% | -195 |
84% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Falcons bet was larger.
The over held 86% of total tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of total money was on the under with 14% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
81% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Falcons?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Falcons) | -2 | -4 | -2 |
| Total | 45.5 | 43 | -2.5 |
The Falcons opened -2 and closed -4, a 2-point move toward the Falcons.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 43, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Falcons line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Falcons (Falcons -2 to Falcons -4) even though 73% of the spread money sits on the Steelers; the Falcons hold 27% of the money and 16% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (45.5 to 43), the side holding 60% of the total money and 14% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.