Jets @ Vikings
Jets
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Jets 23-17 at home. The market closed with Jets at +115 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 32% | 51% | +2.5 (-102) |
| Vikings | 68% | 49% | -2.5 (-117) | |
| Total | Over | 86% | 59% | O 42 (-112) |
| Under | 14% | 41% | U 42 (-109) |
The Vikings held 68% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the Jets with 32% of tickets, so the average Jets bet was larger.
86% of total tickets and 59% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +4 | -2.5 | -6.5 |
| Total | 44 | 42 | -2 |
The Jets opened -4 and closed +2.5, a 6.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 44 and closed 42, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 6.5 points toward the Vikings (Vikings +4 to Vikings -2.5) even though 51% of the spread money sits on the Jets; the Vikings hold 49% of the money and 68% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (44 to 42) even though 59% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 41% of the money and 14% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.