Rams @ Lions
Rams
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Rams 26-20 at home. The market closed with Rams at +195 on the moneyline and the total at 53.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Rams betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Rams vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Rams vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rams | 56% | 48% | +5.5 (-110) |
| Lions | 44% | 52% | -5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 92% | O 53.5 (-112) |
| Under | 23% | 8% | U 53.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Rams | 9% | 9% | +195 |
| Lions | 91% | 91% | -250 |
The Rams held 56% of spread tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of spread money was on the Lions with 44% of tickets, so the average Lions bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 92% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Lions, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Rams vs Lions?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -3 | -5.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 52.5 | 53.5 | +1 |
The Lions opened -3 and closed -5.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 52.5 and closed 53.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Rams vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Lions (Lions -3 to Lions -5.5), the side holding 52% of the spread money and 44% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (52.5 to 53.5), the side holding 92% of the total money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.