Vikings @ Giants
Vikings
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Giants 28-6 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -115 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 70% | 70% | -1 (-109) |
| Giants | 30% | 30% | +1 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 87% | 70% | O 42 (-111) |
| Under | 13% | 30% | U 42 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 68% | 87% | -115 |
| Giants | 32% | 13% | -105 |
70% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Vikings, with money and tickets in step.
87% of total tickets and 70% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
68% of moneyline tickets and 87% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Giants?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | +1.5 | +1 | -0.5 |
| Total | 40.5 | 42 | +1.5 |
The Vikings opened -1.5 and closed -1, a 0.5-point move toward the Giants.
The total opened 40.5 and closed 42, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Giants line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Giants (Giants +1.5 to Giants +1) even though 70% of the spread money sits on the Vikings; the Giants hold 30% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (40.5 to 42), the side holding 70% of the total money and 87% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.