Titans @ Bears
Titans
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Titans 24-17 at home. The market closed with Titans at +168 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 68% | 66% | +4.5 (-112) |
| Bears | 32% | 34% | -4.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 84% | 72% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 16% | 28% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 7% | 10% | +168 |
| Bears | 93% | 90% | -201 |
68% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Titans, so the Titans drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
84% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Bears, so the Bears drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Bears?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | -4.5 | -4.5 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 43 | +0.5 |
The Bears opened -4.5 and closed -4.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 43, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Bears line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Bears -4.5) even with 66% of the spread money on the Titans. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (42.5 to 43), the side holding 72% of the total money and 84% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.