Panthers @ Saints
Panthers
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Panthers 47-10 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +160 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 64% | 78% | +3.5 (-109) |
| Saints | 36% | 22% | -3.5 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 84% | 82% | O 41.5 (-108) |
| Under | 16% | 18% | U 41.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 12% | 8% | +160 |
| Saints | 88% | 92% | -191 |
64% of spread tickets and 78% of spread money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
84% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
88% of moneyline tickets and 92% of moneyline money were on the Saints, so the average Saints bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Saints?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | -4.5 | -3.5 | +1 |
| Total | 39.5 | 41.5 | +2 |
The Saints opened -4.5 and closed -3.5, a 1-point move toward the Panthers.
The total opened 39.5 and closed 41.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Panthers (Saints -4.5 to Saints -3.5), the side holding 78% of the spread money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the over (39.5 to 41.5), the side holding 82% of the total money and 84% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.