Raiders @ Chargers
Raiders
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Raiders 22-10 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +130 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 71% | 79% | +3 (-118) |
| Chargers | 29% | 21% | -3 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 90% | 67% | O 41 (-112) |
| Under | 10% | 33% | U 41 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 22% | 26% | +130 |
| Chargers | 78% | 74% | -155 |
71% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
90% of total tickets and 67% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
78% of moneyline tickets and 74% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the Chargers drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Chargers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 41 | -1.5 |
The Chargers opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 41, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Chargers line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Chargers -3) even with 79% of the spread money on the Raiders. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (42.5 to 41) even though 67% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 33% of the money and 10% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.