Chargers @ Panthers
Chargers
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Panthers 26-3 on the road. The market closed with Chargers at -225 on the moneyline and the total at 39. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 65% | 80% | -5 (-107) |
| Panthers | 35% | 20% | +5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 69% | O 39 (-110) |
| Under | 20% | 31% | U 39 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 93% | 99% | -225 |
| Panthers | 7% | 1% | +185 |
65% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
80% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 99% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Panthers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +3 | +5 | +2 |
| Total | 43.5 | 39 | -4.5 |
The Chargers opened -3 and closed -5, a 2-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 39, a 4.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Chargers (Panthers +3 to Panthers +5), the side holding 80% of the spread money and 65% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4.5 points toward the under (43.5 to 39) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.