Texans @ Packers
Texans
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Texans 24-22 at home. The market closed with Texans at +150 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 67% | 69% | +3 (+100) |
| Packers | 33% | 31% | -3 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 91% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 15% | 9% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 35% | 67% | +150 |
| Packers | 65% | 33% | -180 |
67% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Packers bet.
85% of total tickets and 91% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Packers held 65% of moneyline tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of moneyline money was on the Texans with 35% of tickets, so the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Packers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | -2.5 | -3 | -0.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 47.5 | -1 |
The Packers opened -2.5 and closed -3, a 0.5-point move toward the Packers.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 47.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Packers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Packers (Packers -2.5 to Packers -3) even though 69% of the spread money sits on the Texans; the Packers hold 31% of the money and 33% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (48.5 to 47.5) even though 91% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 9% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.