Bengals @ Browns
Bengals
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Browns 21-14 on the road. The market closed with Bengals at -250 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 75% | 80% | -5.5 (-115) |
| Browns | 25% | 20% | +5.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 65% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 18% | 35% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 93% | 96% | -250 |
| Browns | 7% | 4% | +205 |
75% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
82% of total tickets and 65% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | +1 | +5.5 | +4.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 42.5 | -4 |
The Bengals opened -1 and closed -5.5, a 4.5-point move toward the Bengals.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 42.5, a 4-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Bengals (Browns +1 to Browns +5.5), the side holding 80% of the spread money and 75% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4 points toward the under (46.5 to 42.5) even though 65% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 35% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.