Lions @ Vikings
Lions
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Vikings 31-29 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -102 on the moneyline and the total at 50. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 74% | 72% | +1 (-108) |
| Vikings | 26% | 28% | -1 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 80% | O 50 (-110) |
| Under | 25% | 20% | U 50 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 51% | 77% | -102 |
| Vikings | 49% | 23% | -119 |
74% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
75% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
51% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Vikings bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +3.5 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Total | 48 | 50 | +2 |
The Lions opened -3.5 and closed +1, a 4.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 48 and closed 50, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Vikings (Vikings +3.5 to Vikings -1) even though 72% of the spread money sits on the Lions; the Vikings hold 28% of the money and 26% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the over (48 to 50), the side holding 80% of the total money and 75% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.