Titans @ Bills
Titans
BillsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bills beat the Titans 34-10 at home. The market closed with Titans at +410 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Bills betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Bills betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Bills?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 19% | 14% | +9.5 (-105) |
| Bills | 81% | 86% | -9.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 89% | 72% | O 41 (-112) |
| Under | 11% | 28% | U 41 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 3% | 2% | +410 |
| Bills | 97% | 98% | -550 |
81% of spread tickets and 86% of spread money were on the Bills, so the average Bills bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
89% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
97% of moneyline tickets and 98% of moneyline money were on the Bills, so the average Bills bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Bills?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bills) | -7.5 | -9.5 | -2 |
| Total | 47.5 | 41 | -6.5 |
The Bills opened -7.5 and closed -9.5, a 2-point move toward the Bills.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 41, a 6.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Bills line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Bills (Bills -7.5 to Bills -9.5), the side holding 86% of the spread money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 6.5 points toward the under (47.5 to 41) even though 72% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 28% of the money and 11% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.