Panthers @ Commanders
Panthers
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Panthers 40-7 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +390 on the moneyline and the total at 51. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 18% | 18% | +10 (+100) |
| Commanders | 82% | 82% | -10 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 73% | O 51 (-112) |
| Under | 31% | 27% | U 51 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 2% | 1% | +390 |
| Commanders | 98% | 99% | -520 |
82% of spread tickets and 82% of spread money were on the Commanders, with money and tickets in step.
69% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
98% of moneyline tickets and 99% of moneyline money were on the Commanders, so the average Commanders bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Commanders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | -3 | -10 | -7 |
| Total | 42 | 51 | +9 |
The Commanders opened -3 and closed -10, a 7-point move toward the Commanders.
The total opened 42 and closed 51, a 9-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Commanders line move?
The spread moved 7 points toward the Commanders (Commanders -3 to Commanders -10), the side holding 82% of the spread money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 9 points toward the over (42 to 51), the side holding 73% of the total money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.