Raiders @ Rams
Raiders
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Raiders 20-15 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 39% | 35% | +7 (-105) |
| Rams | 61% | 65% | -7 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 69% | O 43 (-115) |
| Under | 23% | 31% | U 43 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 1% | 28% | +280 |
| Rams | 99% | 72% | -355 |
61% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
77% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
99% of moneyline tickets and 72% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Rams?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -4.5 | -7 | -2.5 |
| Total | 46 | 43 | -3 |
The Rams opened -4.5 and closed -7, a 2.5-point move toward the Rams.
The total opened 46 and closed 43, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Rams (Rams -4.5 to Rams -7), the side holding 65% of the spread money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (46 to 43) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 23% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.