Jets @ Steelers
Jets
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Jets 37-15 at home. The market closed with Jets at -164 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 59% | 70% | -2.5 (-120) |
| Steelers | 41% | 30% | +2.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 67% | 69% | O 40.5 (-104) |
| Under | 33% | 31% | U 40.5 (-115) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 56% | 57% | -164 |
| Steelers | 44% | 43% | +138 |
59% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
67% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
56% of moneyline tickets and 57% of moneyline money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +1 | +2.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 43 | 40.5 | -2.5 |
The Jets opened -1 and closed -2.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total opened 43 and closed 40.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Jets (Steelers +1 to Steelers +2.5), the side holding 70% of the spread money and 59% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (43 to 40.5) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 33% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.