Ravens @ Buccaneers
Ravens
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Buccaneers 41-31 on the road. The market closed with Ravens at -218 on the moneyline and the total at 51. This was an NFL 2024 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 64% | 61% | -4.5 (-110) |
| Buccaneers | 36% | 39% | +4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 87% | O 51 (-110) |
| Under | 21% | 13% | U 51 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 74% | 82% | -218 |
| Buccaneers | 26% | 18% | +180 |
64% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
79% of total tickets and 87% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
74% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Buccaneers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | +5 | +4.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 46 | 51 | +5 |
The Ravens opened -5 and closed -4.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 46 and closed 51, a 5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Buccaneers (Buccaneers +5 to Buccaneers +4.5) even though 61% of the spread money sits on the Ravens; the Buccaneers hold 39% of the money and 36% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 5 points toward the over (46 to 51), the side holding 87% of the total money and 79% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.