Bears @ Lions
Bears
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Bears 23-20 at home. The market closed with Bears at +390 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bears betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Bears vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Bears vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears | 26% | 34% | +9.5 (+100) |
| Lions | 74% | 66% | -9.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 83% | O 47.5 (-115) |
| Under | 21% | 17% | U 47.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Bears | 5% | 12% | +390 |
| Lions | 95% | 88% | -525 |
74% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
79% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
95% of moneyline tickets and 88% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bears vs Lions?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -4.5 | -9.5 | -5 |
| Total | 50 | 47.5 | -2.5 |
The Lions opened -4.5 and closed -9.5, a 5-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 50 and closed 47.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bears vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Lions (Lions -4.5 to Lions -9.5), the side holding 66% of the spread money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (50 to 47.5) even though 83% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 17% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.