Raiders @ Chiefs
Raiders
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Raiders 19-17 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +575 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 50% | 36% | +13.5 (-105) |
| Chiefs | 50% | 64% | -13.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 86% | 73% | O 42 (-112) |
| Under | 14% | 27% | U 42 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 4% | 6% | +575 |
| Chiefs | 96% | 94% | -850 |
The Raiders held 50% of spread tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of spread money was on the Chiefs with 50% of tickets, so the average Chiefs bet was larger.
86% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
96% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -7.5 | -13.5 | -6 |
| Total | 45.5 | 42 | -3.5 |
The Chiefs opened -7.5 and closed -13.5, a 6-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 42, a 3.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 6 points toward the Chiefs (Chiefs -7.5 to Chiefs -13.5), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 50% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3.5 points toward the under (45.5 to 42) even though 73% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 27% of the money and 14% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.