Colts @ Patriots
Colts
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Patriots 25-24 on the road. The market closed with Colts at -130 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 66% | 33% | -2.5 (-110) |
| Patriots | 34% | 67% | +2.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 27% | O 41 (-110) |
| Under | 34% | 73% | U 41 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 74% | 85% | -130 |
| Patriots | 26% | 15% | +110 |
The Colts held 66% of spread tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of spread money was on the Patriots with 34% of tickets, so the average Patriots bet was larger.
The over held 66% of total tickets but only 27% of the money; 73% of total money was on the under with 34% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
74% of moneyline tickets and 85% of moneyline money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Patriots?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | +3 | +2.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 44 | 41 | -3 |
The Colts opened -3 and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Patriots.
The total opened 44 and closed 41, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Patriots line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Patriots (Patriots +3 to Patriots +2.5), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 34% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (44 to 41), the side holding 73% of the total money and 34% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.