Titans @ Commanders
Titans
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Titans 42-19 at home. The market closed with Titans at +207 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 41% | 36% | +6 (-112) |
| Commanders | 59% | 64% | -6 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 70% | 83% | O 45.5 (-108) |
| Under | 30% | 17% | U 45.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 6% | 7% | +207 |
| Commanders | 94% | 93% | -255 |
59% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the Commanders, so the average Commanders bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
70% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
94% of moneyline tickets and 93% of moneyline money were on the Commanders, so the Commanders drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Commanders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | -1.5 | -6 | -4.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 45.5 | -1 |
The Commanders opened -1.5 and closed -6, a 4.5-point move toward the Commanders.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 45.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Commanders line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Commanders (Commanders -1.5 to Commanders -6), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 59% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (46.5 to 45.5) even though 83% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 17% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.