Chargers @ Falcons
Chargers
FalconsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Falcons 17-13 on the road. The market closed with Chargers at -112 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Falcons betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Falcons betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Falcons?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 60% | 47% | -1 (-105) |
| Falcons | 40% | 53% | +1 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 68% | O 47 (-108) |
| Under | 29% | 32% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 58% | 79% | -112 |
| Falcons | 42% | 21% | -108 |
The Chargers held 60% of spread tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of spread money was on the Falcons with 40% of tickets, so the average Falcons bet was larger.
71% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
58% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Falcons bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Falcons?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Falcons) | -2.5 | +1 | +3.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47 | -0.5 |
The Falcons opened -2.5 and closed +1, a 3.5-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 47, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Falcons line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the Chargers (Falcons -2.5 to Falcons +1) even though 53% of the spread money sits on the Falcons; the Chargers hold 47% of the money and 60% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (47.5 to 47) even though 68% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 32% of the money and 29% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.