Buccaneers @ Panthers
Buccaneers
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Panthers 26-23 on the road. The market closed with Buccaneers at -300 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 80% | 81% | -6.5 (-112) |
| Panthers | 20% | 19% | +6.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 81% | O 46 (-110) |
| Under | 27% | 19% | U 46 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 91% | 92% | -300 |
| Panthers | 9% | 8% | +245 |
80% of spread tickets and 81% of spread money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
73% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 92% of moneyline money were on the Buccaneers, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Panthers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +2 | +6.5 | +4.5 |
| Total | 43 | 46 | +3 |
The Buccaneers opened -2 and closed -6.5, a 4.5-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 43 and closed 46, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Buccaneers (Panthers +2 to Panthers +6.5), the side holding 81% of the spread money and 80% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the over (43 to 46), the side holding 81% of the total money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.