Rams @ Saints
Rams
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Saints 21-14 on the road. The market closed with Rams at -155 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Rams betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Rams vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Rams vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rams | 70% | 68% | -2.5 (-118) |
| Saints | 30% | 32% | +2.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 75% | O 48.5 (-112) |
| Under | 34% | 25% | U 48.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Rams | 74% | 81% | -155 |
| Saints | 26% | 19% | +130 |
70% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
66% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
74% of moneyline tickets and 81% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Rams vs Saints?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | +1.5 | +2.5 | +1 |
| Total | 46.5 | 48.5 | +2 |
The Rams opened -1.5 and closed -2.5, a 1-point move toward the Rams.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 48.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Rams vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Rams (Saints +1.5 to Saints +2.5), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 70% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the over (46.5 to 48.5), the side holding 75% of the total money and 66% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.