Buccaneers @ Lions
Buccaneers
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Lions 20-16 on the road. The market closed with Buccaneers at +295 on the moneyline and the total at 51.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 72% | 46% | +7.5 (-109) |
| Lions | 28% | 54% | -7.5 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 71% | O 51.5 (-109) |
| Under | 36% | 29% | U 51.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 14% | 40% | +295 |
| Lions | 86% | 60% | -375 |
The Buccaneers held 72% of spread tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of spread money was on the Lions with 28% of tickets, so the average Lions bet was larger.
64% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
86% of moneyline tickets and 60% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Lions?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -6 | -7.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 51.5 | +3 |
The Lions opened -6 and closed -7.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 51.5, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Lions (Lions -6 to Lions -7.5), the side holding 54% of the spread money and 28% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the over (48.5 to 51.5), the side holding 71% of the total money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.