Seahawks @ Patriots
Seahawks
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Patriots 23-20 on the road. The market closed with Seahawks at -160 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Seahawks betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Seahawks vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Seahawks vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks | 35% | 58% | -3 (-110) |
| Patriots | 65% | 42% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 54% | O 39.5 (-110) |
| Under | 15% | 46% | U 39.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Seahawks | 74% | 61% | -160 |
| Patriots | 26% | 39% | +135 |
The Patriots held 65% of spread tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of spread money was on the Seahawks with 35% of tickets, so the average Seahawks bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
74% of moneyline tickets and 61% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Patriots bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Seahawks vs Patriots?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | +2.5 | +3 | +0.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 39.5 | -3 |
The Seahawks opened -2.5 and closed -3, a 0.5-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 39.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Seahawks vs Patriots line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Seahawks (Patriots +2.5 to Patriots +3), the side holding 58% of the spread money and 35% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (42.5 to 39.5) even though 54% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 46% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.