Browns @ Jaguars
Browns
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Jaguars 18-13 on the road. The market closed with Browns at +141 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 55% | 32% | +3 (-104) |
| Jaguars | 45% | 68% | -3 (-116) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 50% | O 41 (-111) |
| Under | 26% | 50% | U 41 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 17% | 27% | +141 |
| Jaguars | 83% | 73% | -166 |
The Browns held 55% of spread tickets but only 32% of the money; 68% of spread money was on the Jaguars with 45% of tickets, so the average Jaguars bet was larger.
Total money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 74% Over, 26% Under).
83% of moneyline tickets and 73% of moneyline money were on the Jaguars, so the Jaguars drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Jaguars?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | -1 | -3 | -2 |
| Total | 45 | 41 | -4 |
The Jaguars opened -1 and closed -3, a 2-point move toward the Jaguars.
The total opened 45 and closed 41, a 4-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Jaguars (Jaguars -1 to Jaguars -3), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 45% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4 points toward the under (45 to 41); total money is split evenly, so the move did not follow either side's money. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.