49ers @ Vikings
49ers
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the 49ers 23-17 at home. The market closed with 49ers at -218 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 62% | 62% | -4.5 (-111) |
| Vikings | 38% | 38% | +4.5 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 68% | O 46.5 (-112) |
| Under | 35% | 32% | U 46.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 91% | 84% | -218 |
| Vikings | 9% | 16% | +180 |
62% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the 49ers, with money and tickets in step.
65% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
91% of moneyline tickets and 84% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +5.5 | +4.5 | -1 |
| Total | 46.5 | 46.5 | 0 |
The 49ers opened -5.5 and closed -4.5, a 1-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 46.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Vikings (Vikings +5.5 to Vikings +4.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the 49ers; the Vikings hold 38% of the money and 38% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from its opening number (46.5) even with 68% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.