Giants @ Commanders
Giants
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Giants 21-18 at home. The market closed with Giants at +103 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 82% | 81% | +1.5 (-110) |
| Commanders | 18% | 19% | -1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 77% | O 43 (-108) |
| Under | 27% | 23% | U 43 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 16% | 16% | +103 |
| Commanders | 84% | 84% | -123 |
82% of spread tickets and 81% of spread money were on the Giants, so the Giants drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
73% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
84% of moneyline tickets and 84% of moneyline money were on the Commanders, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Commanders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | -3 | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| Total | 44 | 43 | -1 |
The Commanders opened -3 and closed -1.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Giants.
The total opened 44 and closed 43, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Commanders line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Giants (Commanders -3 to Commanders -1.5), the side holding 81% of the spread money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (44 to 43) even though 77% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 23% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.