Steelers @ Broncos
Steelers
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Broncos 13-6 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at -158 on the moneyline and the total at 36.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 43% | 41% | -3 (-111) |
| Broncos | 57% | 59% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 60% | O 36.5 (-111) |
| Under | 15% | 40% | U 36.5 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 75% | 85% | -158 |
| Broncos | 25% | 15% | +133 |
57% of spread tickets and 59% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the average Broncos bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
85% of total tickets and 60% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
75% of moneyline tickets and 85% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Broncos?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | +2 | +3 | +1 |
| Total | 41.5 | 36.5 | -5 |
The Steelers opened -2 and closed -3, a 1-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 41.5 and closed 36.5, a 5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Broncos line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Steelers (Broncos +2 to Broncos +3) even though 59% of the spread money sits on the Broncos; the Steelers hold 41% of the money and 43% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 5 points toward the under (41.5 to 36.5) even though 60% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 40% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.