Patriots @ Jets
Patriots
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jets beat the Patriots 24-3 at home. The market closed with Patriots at +240 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Patriots betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Patriots vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Patriots vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots | 46% | 37% | +6.5 (-105) |
| Jets | 54% | 63% | -6.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 60% | 55% | O 39.5 (-108) |
| Under | 40% | 45% | U 39.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Patriots | 20% | 24% | +240 |
| Jets | 80% | 76% | -295 |
54% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
60% of total tickets and 55% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
80% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Jets, so the Jets drew more tickets than money and the average Patriots bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Patriots vs Jets?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | -7.5 | -6.5 | +1 |
| Total | 42 | 39.5 | -2.5 |
The Jets opened -7.5 and closed -6.5, a 1-point move toward the Patriots.
The total opened 42 and closed 39.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Patriots vs Jets line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Patriots (Jets -7.5 to Jets -6.5) even though 63% of the spread money sits on the Jets; the Patriots hold 37% of the money and 46% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (42 to 39.5) even though 55% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 45% of the money and 40% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.