Texans @ Vikings
Texans
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Texans 34-7 at home. The market closed with Texans at -118 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 54% | 49% | -1.5 (-107) |
| Vikings | 46% | 51% | +1.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 61% | 61% | O 46.5 (-109) |
| Under | 39% | 39% | U 46.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 59% | 53% | -118 |
| Vikings | 41% | 47% | -100 |
The Texans held 54% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the Vikings with 46% of tickets, so the average Vikings bet was larger.
61% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
59% of moneyline tickets and 53% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +3.5 | +1.5 | -2 |
| Total | 46.5 | 46.5 | 0 |
The Texans opened -3.5 and closed -1.5, a 2-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 46.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Vikings (Vikings +3.5 to Vikings +1.5), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 46% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (46.5) even with 61% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.