Chargers @ Steelers
Chargers
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Chargers 20-10 at home. The market closed with Chargers at +122 on the moneyline and the total at 36. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 63% | 72% | +2.5 (-106) |
| Steelers | 37% | 28% | -2.5 (-113) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 59% | O 36 (-108) |
| Under | 26% | 41% | U 36 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 27% | 56% | +122 |
| Steelers | 73% | 44% | -144 |
63% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
74% of total tickets and 59% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Steelers held 73% of moneyline tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of moneyline money was on the Chargers with 27% of tickets, so the average Chargers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | -2 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 36 | -6.5 |
The Steelers opened -2 and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 36, a 6.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Steelers (Steelers -2 to Steelers -2.5) even though 72% of the spread money sits on the Chargers; the Steelers hold 28% of the money and 37% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 6.5 points toward the under (42.5 to 36) even though 59% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 41% of the money and 26% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.