Eagles @ Saints
Eagles
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Saints 15-12 on the road. The market closed with Eagles at +117 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 55% | 62% | +2.5 (-107) |
| Saints | 45% | 38% | -2.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 84% | O 49 (-110) |
| Under | 38% | 16% | U 49 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Eagles | 29% | 35% | +117 |
| Saints | 71% | 65% | -137 |
55% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
62% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
71% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Saints, so the Saints drew more tickets than money and the average Eagles bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Saints?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | +3 | -2.5 | -5.5 |
| Total | 45 | 49 | +4 |
The Eagles opened -3 and closed +2.5, a 5.5-point move toward the Saints.
The total opened 45 and closed 49, a 4-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 5.5 points toward the Saints (Saints +3 to Saints -2.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the Eagles; the Saints hold 38% of the money and 45% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 4 points toward the over (45 to 49), the side holding 84% of the total money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.