Packers @ Titans
Packers
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Titans 30-14 on the road. The market closed with Packers at +137 on the moneyline and the total at 37. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 69% | 69% | +3 (-111) |
| Titans | 31% | 31% | -3 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 70% | O 37 (-111) |
| Under | 25% | 30% | U 37 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 41% | 85% | +137 |
| Titans | 59% | 15% | -163 |
69% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Packers, with money and tickets in step.
75% of total tickets and 70% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Titans held 59% of moneyline tickets but only 15% of the money; 85% of moneyline money was on the Packers with 41% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Titans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | +3.5 | -3 | -6.5 |
| Total | 44 | 37 | -7 |
The Packers opened -3.5 and closed +3, a 6.5-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 44 and closed 37, a 7-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 6.5 points toward the Titans (Titans +3.5 to Titans -3) even though 69% of the spread money sits on the Packers; the Titans hold 31% of the money and 31% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 7 points toward the under (44 to 37) even though 70% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 30% of the money and 25% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.