Giants @ Browns
Giants
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Giants beat the Browns 21-15 on the road. The market closed with Giants at +225 on the moneyline and the total at 38. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 40% | 44% | +6.5 (-112) |
| Browns | 60% | 56% | -6.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 61% | 42% | O 38 (-112) |
| Under | 39% | 58% | U 38 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 7% | 13% | +225 |
| Browns | 93% | 87% | -277 |
60% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
The over held 61% of total tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of total money was on the under with 39% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 87% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -6.5 | -6.5 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 38 | -4.5 |
The Browns opened -6.5 and closed -6.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 38, a 4.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Browns line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Browns -6.5) even with 56% of the spread money on the Browns. The total moved 4.5 points toward the under (42.5 to 38), the side holding 58% of the total money and 39% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.