Dolphins @ Seahawks
Dolphins
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Dolphins 24-3 at home. The market closed with Dolphins at +180 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 47% | 49% | +4.5 (-112) |
| Seahawks | 53% | 51% | -4.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 60% | O 42 (-111) |
| Under | 31% | 40% | U 42 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 19% | 51% | +180 |
| Seahawks | 81% | 49% | -217 |
53% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Dolphins bet was larger.
69% of total tickets and 60% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Seahawks held 81% of moneyline tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of moneyline money was on the Dolphins with 19% of tickets, so the average Dolphins bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Seahawks?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | +2 | -4.5 | -6.5 |
| Total | 49 | 42 | -7 |
The Dolphins opened -2 and closed +4.5, a 6.5-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total opened 49 and closed 42, a 7-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Seahawks line move?
The spread moved 6.5 points toward the Seahawks (Seahawks +2 to Seahawks -4.5), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 7 points toward the under (49 to 42) even though 60% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 40% of the money and 31% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.