Panthers @ Raiders
Panthers
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Panthers beat the Raiders 36-22 on the road. The market closed with Panthers at +205 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 25% | 33% | +5.5 (-106) |
| Raiders | 75% | 67% | -5.5 (-113) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 69% | O 40.5 (-109) |
| Under | 27% | 31% | U 40.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 6% | 9% | +205 |
| Raiders | 94% | 91% | -250 |
75% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the Raiders drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
73% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Raiders, so the Raiders drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Raiders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | -4 | -5.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 43 | 40.5 | -2.5 |
The Raiders opened -4 and closed -5.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Raiders.
The total opened 43 and closed 40.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Raiders (Raiders -4 to Raiders -5.5), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 75% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (43 to 40.5) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.