49ers @ Rams
49ers
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the 49ers 27-24 at home. The market closed with 49ers at -264 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 69% | 64% | -6 (-108) |
| Rams | 31% | 36% | +6 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 62% | O 44.5 (-109) |
| Under | 38% | 38% | U 44.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 92% | 78% | -264 |
| Rams | 8% | 22% | +215 |
69% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Rams bet was larger.
62% of total tickets and 62% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
92% of moneyline tickets and 78% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Rams bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Rams?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | +2.5 | +6 | +3.5 |
| Total | 49 | 44.5 | -4.5 |
The 49ers opened -2.5 and closed -6, a 3.5-point move toward the 49ers.
The total opened 49 and closed 44.5, a 4.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 3.5 points toward the 49ers (Rams +2.5 to Rams +6), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4.5 points toward the under (49 to 44.5) even though 62% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 38% of the money and 38% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.