Lions @ Cardinals
Lions
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Cardinals 20-13 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -151 on the moneyline and the total at 51.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 44% | 54% | -3 (-103) |
| Cardinals | 56% | 46% | +3 (-116) | |
| Total | Over | 58% | 61% | O 51.5 (-109) |
| Under | 42% | 39% | U 51.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 70% | 52% | -151 |
| Cardinals | 30% | 48% | +127 |
The Cardinals held 56% of spread tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of spread money was on the Lions with 44% of tickets, so the average Lions bet was larger.
58% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
70% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Cardinals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Cardinals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | +4 | +3 | -1 |
| Total | 50 | 51.5 | +1.5 |
The Lions opened -4 and closed -3, a 1-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 50 and closed 51.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Cardinals line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Cardinals (Cardinals +4 to Cardinals +3) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Lions; the Cardinals hold 46% of the money and 56% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (50 to 51.5), the side holding 61% of the total money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.