Chiefs @ Falcons
Chiefs
FalconsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Falcons 22-17 on the road. The market closed with Chiefs at -174 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2024 week 3 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chiefs betting trends · Falcons betting trends · all NFL games
Chiefs vs Falcons betting splits
Where was the money on Chiefs vs Falcons?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chiefs | 61% | 42% | -3 (-119) |
| Falcons | 39% | 58% | +3 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 56% | 58% | O 47 (-111) |
| Under | 44% | 42% | U 47 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Chiefs | 75% | 96% | -174 |
| Falcons | 25% | 4% | +145 |
The Chiefs held 61% of spread tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of spread money was on the Falcons with 39% of tickets, so the average Falcons bet was larger.
56% of total tickets and 58% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
75% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the average Chiefs bet was larger than the average Falcons bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chiefs vs Falcons?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Falcons) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 49 | 47 | -2 |
The Chiefs opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 49 and closed 47, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chiefs vs Falcons line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Falcons +3) even with 58% of the spread money on the Falcons. The total moved 2 points toward the under (49 to 47) even though 58% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 42% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.