Broncos @ Jets
Broncos
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Jets 10-9 on the road. The market closed with Broncos at +390 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 41% | 40% | +8 (-106) |
| Jets | 59% | 60% | -8 (-113) | |
| Total | Over | 91% | 77% | O 39.5 (-109) |
| Under | 9% | 23% | U 39.5 (-111) |
59% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
91% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Jets?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | -6 | -8 | -2 |
| Total | 42.5 | 39.5 | -3 |
The Jets opened -6 and closed -8, a 2-point move toward the Jets.
The total opened 42.5 and closed 39.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Jets line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Jets (Jets -6 to Jets -8), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 59% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (42.5 to 39.5) even though 77% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 23% of the money and 9% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.