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Bengals @ Panthers

Bengals
3424
Final
Panthers
Sun, Sep 29, 2024, 1:00 PM ET · NFL 2024 week 4
Closing · ML -235 · SPR +5.5 · O/U 46.5

Archived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.

Matchup summary

Final: Bengals beat the Panthers 34-24 on the road. The market closed with Bengals at -235 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.

More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games

Bengals vs Panthers betting splits

Where was the money on Bengals vs Panthers?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyClosing line / odds
SpreadBengals73%83%-5.5 (-112)
Panthers27%17%+5.5 (-108)
TotalOver88%82%O 46.5 (-110)
Under12%18%U 46.5 (-110)

73% of spread tickets and 83% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.

88% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.

Line movement

What was the closing line for Bengals vs Panthers?

MarketOpeningClosingMove
Spread (Panthers)+5+5.5+0.5
Total4646.5+0.5

The Bengals opened -5 and closed -5.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Bengals.

The total opened 46 and closed 46.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.

Why the line moved

Why did the Bengals vs Panthers line move?

The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Bengals (Panthers +5 to Panthers +5.5), the side holding 83% of the spread money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (46 to 46.5), the side holding 82% of the total money and 88% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

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